Betfair Tennis Trading – 6th September US Open

Time  5.00pm 6.00pm    
Competition  US Open US Open    
Match  Vinci Kerber Pouille Monfils
BF Odds  6.8 1.16 5.6 1.21
Ryan’s Odds  4.4 1.29 3.80 1.36
 
Player Notes  Big serve Defensive player A player who plays a counter attacking style he will pull you in and then hit you Big serve is one of his strongest weapons
  Mixes their game up, loves the slice and drop shot Counter puncher, you will play more points per rally against Kerber Has a very strong return of serve Very athletic player – great endurance
  Plays a serve and volley game well She has excellent court speed as most counter players do – well the top ones. There is potential with Pouille to be a good player he has the skills Erratic player, has his moments where you are thinking why?!
  A very clever tennis player Baseline player aims to control from here Excellent court speed Excellent court speed
How Would I trade it?  I’m going against my value here, well I am not I like Kerber as a player a lot I am hoping that the calculation my sheet has it right and Vinci will start well and then I want to back Kerber around 1.80 – maybe after Vinci wins the first set? I have Pouille here as the value player, this is going to be a very cautious trade for me, Monfils leads the H2H and is the superior player but he is erratic. I will let them both have a serve and then wait see how Pouille starts if he is looking like the better player I’ll have a little back on him, he has the talent to take a few games and maybe even the first set!

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